So here’s what we got right and wrong about the year 2022. It’s an epistemic habit the rest of the journalism world might want to consider.

Wade, that Emmanuel Macron would be re-elected in France, and that AI would make its presence felt in drug discovery.Īs my colleague Dylan Matthews wrote last year, “ Predicting the future is a skill at which some people are dramatically better than others, and practicing is one of the best ways to improve at it.” And part of practicing it is holding ourselves accountable for what we get wrong, as well as what we get right. (Omicron, which was just intensifying as we made our predictions last year, isn’t going anywhere.) But we did successfully predict that the Supreme Court would overturn Roe v. Among our six wrong predictions, we failed to foresee that the Democrats would keep control of the US Senate, or that inflation would rise well above the 3 percent we predicted, or that the World Health Organization (WHO) would not designate a new Covid variant of concern. And some of our swings-and-misses were real whiffs. Sadly, society does not put the same monetary value on accurate punditry that it does on the ability to hit baseballs halfway to the moon. 636, which, if we were playing in the major leagues, would earn us a contract even richer than the one the Yankees just gave Aaron Judge. Of the 22 predictions we made, 12 were judged to be definitely correct, while another two were at least partially right. Good news: our prognostication improved slightly from the year before. It’s something we do annually to test out our forecasting abilities.

Side view Stock Illustration by djmilic 3 / 9 Dartboard Stock Illustrations by Gimmi 3 / 396 Cartoon dartboard, puck and sport balls Clip Art by Seamartini 1 / 92 An illustration of a dartboard.As we’ve done in the past, the Future Perfect team sat down last year to try to predict what was to come in 2022. Stock Illustration by merznatalia 1 / 14 Man leaning on a target Clip Art by texelart 4 / 338 Darts Stock Illustration by darrenwh 1 / 136 Financial goal and target concept Stock Illustration by plinghoo 17 / 752 Three darts arrows, red, blue and yellow Stock Illustrations by Zelfit 1 / 117 Dartboard Stock Illustration by mkoudis 3 / 269 Darts Stock Illustration by bach005 1 / 27 Darts Clipart by bach005 1 / 17 Dartboard Stock Illustrations by mkoudis 2 / 321 Dartboard with Darts Hitting the Bullseye Drawing by jpldesigns 4 / 379 Dartboard Drawings by dvarg 1 / 83 The dartboard Clip Art by gertot1967 2 / 76 Dartboard with two darts Stock Illustrations by megastocker 1 / 17 Dartboard.

Stock Illustrations by skvoor 14 / 413 dart isolated on white Clip Art by merznatalia 1 / 22 Darts board on white. Office game Stock Illustration by leonido 8 / 1,151 Black and white target with red center. Clip Art by nmarques74 10 / 354 Dartboard Clipart by darrenwh 1 / 75 Darts. Isolated 3D image Stock Illustrations by ISerg 3 / 48 Target Stock Illustration by JohanH 6 / 227 dart striking dollar sign on bullseye Stock Illustration by yojo 1 / 41 Image of a dart hitting a bullseye target isolated on a white background. Dartboard Clipart by scanrail 14 / 714 Dartboard Illustration Stock Illustration by jpldesigns 6 / 363 Darts Board Clipart by RaStudio 56 / 3,822 Dartboard Stock Illustrations by piai 9 / 519 Darts Board Clipart by RaStudio 41 / 4,334 Dartboard Mascot Stock Illustration by lenm 6 / 246 dartboard Clipart by ekays 6 / 708 Dartboard Stock Illustration by JohanH 5 / 109 Target Clip Art by adamson 109 / 3,889 dart board Stock Illustrations by teshimine 21 / 1,066 Dartboard with Darts Stock Illustrations by miceking 12 / 512 Dartboard with Dart Stock Illustrations by sermax55 5 / 308 bowling, darts and billiard skulls Stock Illustration by ranker666 32 / 2,256 Splashing Dart Board Stock Illustration by vectomart 13 / 639 Dartboard Stock Illustration by prawny 2 / 674 dart and dartboard Stock Illustrations by yupiramos 2 / 177 Dartboard Stock Illustration by brankica 1 / 11 Darts on Target Clip Art by Lss 5 / 207 Dart missed the center Stock Illustration by Zelfit 8 / 423 Darts Board Clip Art by santon1982 2 / 98 Dart and dartboard Clip Art by lindwa 1 / 71 dartboard Clip Art by kostax 1 / 155 Dartboard Drawings by dvarg 1 / 100 Darts Board Drawing by RaStudio 6 / 527 Dart in red target Stock Illustration by piai 6 / 998 Objective Attainment Concept Stock Illustration by olivier26 2 / 53 target board Clip Art by get4net 23 / 1,311 Darts game ditems and heraldic elements Drawings by Seamartini 3 / 39 dartboard Stock Illustration by julydfg 1 / 36 Darts vector Stock Illustration by nezezon 2 / 451 Dart on a white background.

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